26-5-17 +13.28 YTD (stake 53.38)
Hannover vs Hoffenheim (Ger 9:30am SAT)
- surprised we're not seeing an over 3.25 line here so jumped on this early. #1 and #2 gpg teams in Germany at 3.85 and 3.50. With a combined 40 games only 10/40 have gone under 2.5 and incredibly 37/40 have reached at least 2 goals. These teams have played more games with at least 6 goals than they have less than 2 so clearly goals on the table. In fact more than half 21/40 have reached at least 4 goals so that's why I don't understand the line. The only teams held without a goal in Hannover this year are Augsbug and Greuther Furth the two lowest scoring teams in league while Hoffenheim have score nearly the same as those teams combined. Hoffenheim worst defense in league, Hannover 2nd worst and early meeting ended 3-1 in Hoffenheim (was 1-1 after 27 minutes then took a while for 3rd).
hannover over 2.5 2.68u to win 2u
Hannover vs Hoffenheim (Ger 9:30am SAT)
- surprised we're not seeing an over 3.25 line here so jumped on this early. #1 and #2 gpg teams in Germany at 3.85 and 3.50. With a combined 40 games only 10/40 have gone under 2.5 and incredibly 37/40 have reached at least 2 goals. These teams have played more games with at least 6 goals than they have less than 2 so clearly goals on the table. In fact more than half 21/40 have reached at least 4 goals so that's why I don't understand the line. The only teams held without a goal in Hannover this year are Augsbug and Greuther Furth the two lowest scoring teams in league while Hoffenheim have score nearly the same as those teams combined. Hoffenheim worst defense in league, Hannover 2nd worst and early meeting ended 3-1 in Hoffenheim (was 1-1 after 27 minutes then took a while for 3rd).
hannover over 2.5 2.68u to win 2u
Fri 1pm Ger 3rd...
Aachen vs Karlsruher
- KSC's 10 game winning streak ended with 0-0 to Bielefeld but should start a new streak vs relegation candidate Aachen who had to let go of half their starters over the winter break to keep afloat financially. Incredible Aachen was in Bundesliga in 2007 and now just 6 years later might end up in 4th level...
KSC 1u to win 1u
Aachen vs Karlsruher
- KSC's 10 game winning streak ended with 0-0 to Bielefeld but should start a new streak vs relegation candidate Aachen who had to let go of half their starters over the winter break to keep afloat financially. Incredible Aachen was in Bundesliga in 2007 and now just 6 years later might end up in 4th level...
KSC 1u to win 1u
Ger Sat 9:30am
Gladbach vs Leverkusen
- big odds for home win but i'll be conservative with the 1X bet instead. Gladbach very strong at home with just 3 defeats in 28 league matches since March 2011 and still plenty to play for just 1 point behind Europa spot and 7 back from a CL spot. Leverkusen win less than half their away games (15 wins in last 35, 10 in last 25, 7 in last 20) and haven't won in last 3 h2h vs Gladbach. Historically not an easy trip for Leverkusen with just 5 wins in 31
Borusia M'gladbach +1/2 1.33u to win 1u
Gladbach vs Leverkusen
- big odds for home win but i'll be conservative with the 1X bet instead. Gladbach very strong at home with just 3 defeats in 28 league matches since March 2011 and still plenty to play for just 1 point behind Europa spot and 7 back from a CL spot. Leverkusen win less than half their away games (15 wins in last 35, 10 in last 25, 7 in last 20) and haven't won in last 3 h2h vs Gladbach. Historically not an easy trip for Leverkusen with just 5 wins in 31
Borusia M'gladbach +1/2 1.33u to win 1u
yeah. i remember that series well mostly because of them losing in hungary on a shit field in shit weather with reserve squad ...
if you've never read it i'd suggest picking up declan hill's The Fix book. all this stuff has been known for many years especially when these minnows head to a giant...always easier to bet on a huge fav to win by 3+ because nobody will really question a 5-0 united win.
there is no suggestion at all that united players had anything to do with this it was strictly making sure the hungarians lost by at least 3 (line was -2.5 HC)
if you've never read it i'd suggest picking up declan hill's The Fix book. all this stuff has been known for many years especially when these minnows head to a giant...always easier to bet on a huge fav to win by 3+ because nobody will really question a 5-0 united win.
there is no suggestion at all that united players had anything to do with this it was strictly making sure the hungarians lost by at least 3 (line was -2.5 HC)
GBA vs Genk (Bel 12pm)
- looks like clear and cold in Antwerp so weather not a factor. GBA a point behind Lierse for important 14th spot so will go for wins at home while Genk need to keep winning to stay in playoff spot. GBA home avg 3.67 gpg, Genk away avg 3.42 gpg. Genk have both scored and conceded in a remarkable 16 straight away so theoretically only 1-1 would keep this under
over 2.5 1u to win .78u
- looks like clear and cold in Antwerp so weather not a factor. GBA a point behind Lierse for important 14th spot so will go for wins at home while Genk need to keep winning to stay in playoff spot. GBA home avg 3.67 gpg, Genk away avg 3.42 gpg. Genk have both scored and conceded in a remarkable 16 straight away so theoretically only 1-1 would keep this under
over 2.5 1u to win .78u
Guarani vs Sao Paulo (Paulista 1:30)
- SP with Libertadores in midweek so playing reserves but they're possibly the deepest team in South America so reserves are guys like Maicon, Aloisio, and Ganso who will go all out to break into starting XI. Guarani among the worst in Paulista and totally bankrupt. They're 0-6-10 vs Sao Paulo and 0-1-8 against them at home. Small bet as it's still SP reserves vs Guarani regulars
Sao Paulo .52u to win .5u
might play Sevilla +1.5 later...don't see much motivation for Madrid today with their only trophies available to begin on Wed in Manchester. Just don't see their heads in the game today but Sevilla with some missings and prefer to wait for lineups
- SP with Libertadores in midweek so playing reserves but they're possibly the deepest team in South America so reserves are guys like Maicon, Aloisio, and Ganso who will go all out to break into starting XI. Guarani among the worst in Paulista and totally bankrupt. They're 0-6-10 vs Sao Paulo and 0-1-8 against them at home. Small bet as it's still SP reserves vs Guarani regulars
Sao Paulo .52u to win .5u
might play Sevilla +1.5 later...don't see much motivation for Madrid today with their only trophies available to begin on Wed in Manchester. Just don't see their heads in the game today but Sevilla with some missings and prefer to wait for lineups
Alajuelense vs Herediano (CR 9pm)
- teams met for title in December and now are bottom of league. They are two of 3 historically best teams in CR so both will start to climb table but Alajuela really need this match. They replaced their coach this week with a guy that won title with them 15 years ago and Herediano missing important Meneses and keeper Pemberton who got hurt in midweek qualifier. H2H dominated by Alajuela with just once beaten in last 10 meetings and no Herediano away win in 11.
Alajuelense -1/4 .5u to win .5u
Atlas vs Atlante (Mex 10pm)
- Atlas added offense for this season and it has paid off scoring 2-2-2-0-2-2. They've scored in 7 straight at home and five straight home matches netting 2 goals. Atlante defense is horrendous but a decent attack. Now 12-1 against the over 2.5 line in last 13 league matches including 6-0 away. Line dropped from 2.5 to 2.25 but no Atlante match should be 2.25 right now or 2.5 goals with these odds.
Atlas/Atlante over 2.25 risk 1.5u to win 1.22u
- teams met for title in December and now are bottom of league. They are two of 3 historically best teams in CR so both will start to climb table but Alajuela really need this match. They replaced their coach this week with a guy that won title with them 15 years ago and Herediano missing important Meneses and keeper Pemberton who got hurt in midweek qualifier. H2H dominated by Alajuela with just once beaten in last 10 meetings and no Herediano away win in 11.
Alajuelense -1/4 .5u to win .5u
Atlas vs Atlante (Mex 10pm)
- Atlas added offense for this season and it has paid off scoring 2-2-2-0-2-2. They've scored in 7 straight at home and five straight home matches netting 2 goals. Atlante defense is horrendous but a decent attack. Now 12-1 against the over 2.5 line in last 13 league matches including 6-0 away. Line dropped from 2.5 to 2.25 but no Atlante match should be 2.25 right now or 2.5 goals with these odds.
Atlas/Atlante over 2.25 risk 1.5u to win 1.22u
-1.0 Genk
+0.5 SP
-0.25 Alajuela
+1.22 Atlas
2-2 +0.47
31-5-20 +13.57 YTD (stake 62.41)
Puntarenas vs Saprissa (CR noon Sun)
- Saprissa the biggest club in CR but they hate this trip...now 13 years without a win in Estadio Perez. Saprissa not a young team and two of their older players, Umana and Sequeira, had the trip to Panama in midweek. Both unbeaten in last 3 but have to oppose the away team that can't win in this stadium.
Puntarenas +1/4 .52u to win .5u
+0.5 SP
-0.25 Alajuela
+1.22 Atlas
2-2 +0.47
31-5-20 +13.57 YTD (stake 62.41)
Puntarenas vs Saprissa (CR noon Sun)
- Saprissa the biggest club in CR but they hate this trip...now 13 years without a win in Estadio Perez. Saprissa not a young team and two of their older players, Umana and Sequeira, had the trip to Panama in midweek. Both unbeaten in last 3 but have to oppose the away team that can't win in this stadium.
Puntarenas +1/4 .52u to win .5u
